Each historic event replays eight times in the simulations (once in each of the two 40-year future periods for each of the four scenarios). The scenarios span a wide range of future warming possibilities and are designed to show how the events of the previous 40 years (1980–2019) would "replay" under warmer conditions. Left to right: A historic heat wave event from 2012, the historic event replayed in 2052, and the historic event replayed in 2092 for one of the four scenarios. Credit: U.S. In this simulation of a future North America, purple and dark red indicate areas of more intense surface temperatures.
The two teams worked together to create future scenarios, developing four simulations that look 80 years into the future of the United States, from 2020 to 2099.
The two projects are funded by DOE's Earth & Environmental Systems Modeling program's MultiSector Dynamics and Regional & Global Model Analysis program areas, respectively. Department of Energy (DOE) projects, Integrated Multisector, Multiscale Modeling (IM3) and A Framework for Improving Analysis and Modeling of Earth System and Intersectoral Dynamics at Regional Scales (HyperFACETS). These scenarios are the result of a collaborative effort between two U.S. The approach is called thermodynamic global warming (TGW). To address these needs, a group of DOE-funded scientists recently released a set of high-resolution scenarios that span a range of plausible changes in U.S. TGW simulations: Modeling possible futures Such information, he adds, would give the research community "targeted regional climate impact simulations" that clarify local effects on infrastructure and society. projections that have finely detailed views across space and time, says Paul Ullrich, a professor of regional climate modeling at the University of California, Davis. There is an urgent need for credible U.S. What will the future look like, and how can our society plan to adapt to that future? The consequences of changing Earth systems are global.
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